What the 2- vs 10-year Treasury yield curve inversion means
The yield on two-year U.S. Treasury notes was higher than the yield on the 10-year for a while Wednesday, marking the first time since June 2007 this curve has inverted. Many market participants see this as a sign of a coming recession in the next year or two. Other parts of the curve — the 3-month to 10-year and the 2- to 5-year — inverted earlier this year and remain inverted. “The significant decline in rates has led to meaningful inversion in key parts of the interest rate curve — historically these types of inversions have signaled that economic weakness and [...]