Cash Managers’ Interest Rate Quandary
Public cash managers today face a strategic dilemma: They can sit on money market funds, local government investment pools and ultra-short investments like repurchase agreements, all of them still yielding the highest interest rates available today. Or they can look out into 2025 and try to lock in some less spectacular but still healthy longer-term yields in anticipation of lower short-term rates next year, if and when the Federal Reserve cuts its overnight rates on the view that inflation has been tamed. The problem today is that markets have already begun to anticipate a lower-rate environment next year, and thus longer [...]